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Delayed · 11:34 UK

Qualcomm wins SpaceX 5G deal, but earnings slide dominates

Qualcomm's SpaceX 5G deal for Starlink Mobile was overshadowed as QCOM shares fell on weak earnings guidance the same day.

SpaceX has selected Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) to supply network infrastructure for Starlink Mobile’s planned nationwide US 5G service, the companies said on 4 November 2026.

Qualcomm shares fell 4.36% on the day to close at $161.55, even as the Qualcomm-SpaceX deal was announced.

Qualcomm SpaceX 5G deal targets Verizon and AT&T

QCOM price over the last month
QCOM over the last month, hourly closes. Source: consolidated US exchange data.

Under the agreement, Starlink Mobile will use Qualcomm’s Dragonwing QRU100 and QDU100 platforms, paired with commercial-grade Layer 1 software, to build high-capacity Massive MIMO base stations at scale, according to the companies’ statement.

Rollout is expected to begin in 2027, with tens of thousands of sites planned over a multi-year agreement, as reported by Yahoo Finance, citing the original Business Wire release. Reuters and CNBC separately confirmed the tie-up the same day. The ambition is explicit: Barron’s described the pairing as a direct challenge to Verizon and AT&T’s grip on US mobile coverage.

The stakes extend beyond handset chips. AT&T, T-Mobile and Verizon have lobbied the Federal Communications Commission over a proposed 482 MHz spectrum allocation that would benefit Starlink Mobile’s carrier ambitions, underlining how directly the Qualcomm tie-up threatens incumbent operators’ turf.

Why the stock fell anyway

The share-price move had little to do with the SpaceX announcement. Qualcomm’s fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results, also released on 4 November, beat on revenue but came with weak profit guidance tied to a memory-chip shortage weighing on smartphone demand, a drag flagged by CNBC’s earnings coverage the same day.

Trading volume on 4 November ran at 2.7 times the 20-day average, with the stock down 4.88% over the preceding 20 sessions and off its 20-day high of $185.34. FINRA’s daily short-sale data showed Qualcomm’s short-volume ratio at 0.512 on the day, within the 0.42-to-0.58 range it had occupied over the prior fortnight – no sign of a fresh short-selling spike tied to either the SpaceX announcement or the earnings print.

The numbers behind the guidance concern

QUALCOMM INC/DE quarterly revenue in billions of dollars from SEC filings
Qualcomm Inc/De revenue by quarter, as filed. Source: SEC EDGAR.

Qualcomm’s most recent quarterly filing, covering the three months to 28 June 2026, showed revenue of $9.947bn and net income of $2.002bn, with diluted earnings per share of $1.87, according to its 10-Q filed with the SEC. That followed a stronger fiscal second quarter, when revenue reached $10.599bn and net income $7.370bn, lifted by a one-off item that pushed diluted EPS to $6.88, filings show. Quarterly revenue has swung between roughly $9.4bn and $12.3bn over the past two years, with the fiscal first quarter of 2026 – covering the December 2025 shopping season – the strongest at $12.252bn, per Qualcomm’s SEC filings.

Against that backdrop, a guidance cut tied to component shortages rather than demand weakness was enough to overshadow a genuine strategic win in a new market. The contrast illustrates how quarterly print timing can swamp longer-term catalyst news in the same trading session.

Several Qualcomm executives filed routine Form 4 disclosures with the SEC in the days around the announcement, including chief executive Cristiano Amon and finance chief Akash Palkhiwala, alongside directors Ann Chaplin, Alexander Rogers, Heather Ace, Baaziz Achour and Patricia Grech. None of the filings disclosed unusual share movements tied to the SpaceX news.

A tougher environment for network buildouts

The deal also lands against a less accommodating rate backdrop for capital-intensive infrastructure projects. The 10-year US Treasury yield stood at 4.95% on 3 November, up from 4.91% a day earlier, according to Federal Reserve data, while the 2-year yield held at 4.61%. The 10y-2y spread remained narrow at 0.32 percentage points, little changed from 0.34 the prior session. Elevated borrowing costs raise the bar for financing a nationwide buildout of the scale Starlink Mobile is targeting, even with a chip-technology partner of Qualcomm’s scale now contracted to supply the base-station platforms.

Qualcomm has not disclosed the financial terms of the Starlink Mobile agreement. Investors will get their next scheduled update on the chipmaker’s underlying business, and any further detail on the SpaceX partnership’s contribution, when Qualcomm reports its fiscal first-quarter 2027 results early next year.


This article is for information only and is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Markets move quickly; figures are correct as sourced at the time of writing. Always do your own research before making financial decisions.

Written by

Martin Holloway

Martin Holloway spent the better part of two decades on bank trading floors in the City before he started filing copy. He read Economics at a redbrick university, joined a graduate scheme at one of the UK clearers in the late 1990s, and moved across to fixed income early in his career. The bulk of his time was on macro…

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