Reading two analyzes from the same person that are so far apart is almost startling. A $60 XRP target on one side was based on a chart structure that dates back almost ten years. Conversely, a downward call that reaches $0.62. Both belong to Ali Martinez, the cryptocurrency analyst on X who goes by the handle @alicharts. They are currently receiving a lot of attention because the market is genuinely unsure of its direction rather than because they are dramatic.
As of September 13, 2026, XRP is positioned slightly below its 200-day moving average at $1.35. That level, $1.355, has subtly emerged as the boundary between two radically different versions of the upcoming months. XRP rallied 34.6% from its August low, peaked momentarily above $1.50 in early September, and then drifted back down to its current level after spending the majority of this year above it. Since the start of that retreat, the price has not closed above the 200-day mark. For many viewers, that is important.
Martinez’s identification of the immediate support ladder is remarkably accurate. The 20-day exponential moving average coincides with the first floor, which is at $1.33, followed by $1.30. Below that: $1.23, followed by the 50-day average at about $1.21, $1.10, and the cycle low of $0.98 on August 17. On the way up, buyers intervened at each level. It’s a different matter entirely whether those same customers return on the way down. Martinez identifies $0.62 as the deeper downside target and $1.06 as a crucial pivot, which calls for the 200-day and $1.30 areas to collapse simultaneously rather than gradually.
The funding rate is what currently lends some credibility to the bearish scenario. The rate of XRP reached its lowest point since late June at negative 0.0094%. This implies that short sellers are actually paying long holders to maintain their positions in the perpetual futures market. When XRP is trading slightly below a significant moving average, traders are paying to wager against it. That market lacks confidence. The market is awaiting a decision.
Before it broke earlier this week, about 3.2 billion XRP were held in a demand zone between $1.35 and $1.38. That breakdown has more than just technical significance. The next wave of buyers typically finds thinner support than the chart suggests when long-term holders—wallets holding coins for months—begin to sell into a decline. The actual buyer depth and the visible ladder are not always the same.
Martinez hasn’t given up on the longer view, though. His most popular call at the moment actually has nothing to do with the coming weeks. He contends that XRP has been creating a huge ascending triangle on its monthly chart for almost nine years. $3.66 is the critical resistance. According to his analysis, a confirmed monthly close above that level, which has never occurred, would activate a technical target close to $60. That figure has been widely disseminated, generating about equal amounts of excitement and skepticism.
Additionally, former Ripple CTO David Schwartz has stated in public that XRP may eventually surpass Bitcoin due to its faster growth rather than Bitcoin’s decline. To match Bitcoin’s market capitalization at current supply levels, XRP would need to trade at about $25. The $60 amount goes even farther.
It’s important to remember that these long-term goals and short-term downside calls don’t always conflict. Before making significant moves, markets retrace sharply. If it were to occur, the drop to $0.62 would be unpleasant, but it would also create the kind of washout that comes before dramatic recoveries. Perhaps the more honest approach to a market this uncertain is for Martinez to hold both possibilities without treating them as mutually exclusive.
A daily close back above $1.38 would be the most obvious indication that the bearish scenario is waning on the near-term roadmap. In addition to forcing short sellers to pay negative funding to cover, this would return XRP to the broken demand zone and restore some of the technical credibility the price had lost during its decline. On September 11, buyers did defend the $1.315 low before closing back at $1.3562, indicating that the floor is not entirely gone but rather thinner than it appears.
Observing all of this gives the impression that Ali Martinez’s true worth lies in creating the map rather than choosing the number. It is currently unknown if XRP will eventually print $60 or find its footing at $1.30 or decline toward $0.62. His targets offer a framework, which includes the important levels, the prerequisites for each result, and the signals that would support or refute them. That kind of methodical thinking typically outperforms a single audacious prediction in a market that is largely driven by noise.
